Sep 30, 2026
US Dollar: Rally seen stretched into year-end – TD Securities
TD Securities’ TD Macro Research Insight argues the US Dollar rally is stretched against major currencies and is unlikely to break to new highs in current Fed hiking cycle. Month-end equity rebalancing flows, weaker-than-consensus US payrolls, and broadly short G10 FX positioning versus USD support a bearish Dollar regime, with risks from a potential US diesel export ban and geopolitical escalation.
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